Target ROAS for subscriptions: bid on the first payment, or on predicted LTV?
The value you send decides what Smart Bidding chases. A practical way to send predicted value without lying to the algorithm, and when to switch.
Notes
Tracking that breaks, bidding that misreads, and the Gulf-market details that do not appear in platform documentation. Written by the team, from client accounts, roughly once a month.
Everyone turns it on; few check whether it is doing anything. How to read the match-rate diagnostics, why normalization before hashing decides the result, and what a healthy lift looks like.
Read the noteThe value you send decides what Smart Bidding chases. A practical way to send predicted value without lying to the algorithm, and when to switch.
The five things we change after every import: match types, device bids, audience signals, UET goals, and the budget split by country.
Observed versus modeled conversions by country, what the ratio does to target CPA, and the consent-banner choices that move it.
Brand exclusions, channel reporting, and the experiment design that tells you whether PMax is adding conversions or taking them from campaigns you already had.
Mixed-language ad groups, translated instead of written ads, and landing pages that switch language mid-funnel. What a clean EN/AR account looks like.
Capturing the click ID, mapping CRM stages to conversion actions, and the schedule and values that let Smart Bidding learn from deals instead of forms.
Why attribution reports cannot settle cross-channel budgets, and the geo-holdout and baseline methods we use instead when budgets are too small for a formal lift study.